Archive: Fed
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Bitcoin Decouples From Stocks, Moves Closer to Gold
By Vin Narayanan on June 2, 2023
Crypto Market Musings It’s been a relatively calm week for crypto. Bitcoin is up 1.73% over the last seven days as of this writing. Ethereum is up 3.54% over the same period. Monero is down 1.93%. Crypto has largely decoupled from the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 and become more correlated with gold. The charts below show bitcoin (dark blue line) moving out of sync with the stock markets and more in sync with gold. BTC…
Federal Court Gives the SEC a Deadline to Respond to Coinbase
By Vin Narayanan on May 5, 2023
Crypto Market Musings Bitcoin is down around 0.7% over the last seven days. Ethereum is down about 0.4% over that same time period. And Monero is up about 1.8%. Conflicting macro narratives appear to be driving the market. Inflation is proving to be stubborn, and the…
Inflation and the Fed Are Keeping the Crypto Market in Limbo
By Vin Narayanan on April 14, 2023
Crypto Market Musings It feels like the crypto markets are warming up. As I write this, bitcoin is trading above $30,000. Ethereum is trading around $2,000. Even Solana has managed to make big gains. It’s up almost 20% over the last seven days. Most of Ethereum’s…
The Biggest Threat to the Crypto Market Right Now
By Early Investing on April 7, 2023
Between the SEC going after crypto exchanges and anyone who seems to promote crypto, the Fed warning banks not to work with crypto, and Congress failing to provide any kind of guidance, it seems like we’re witnessing a coordinated government effort to kneecap crypto. It’s regulation…
Where Silvergate, SVB and Signature Went Wrong
By Vin Narayanan on March 17, 2023
For people my age, Han Solo telling Luke Skywalker “Great, kid! Don’t get cocky!” after Luke shot down a ship for the first time is a seminal movie moment. As a kid, I didn’t even know what “cocky” meant! But I…
SBF and the Fear of Future AI Overlords
By Olivia Strobl on December 9, 2022
Crypto Market Musings Over the past week, bitcoin and ethereum have begun to stabilize following the spectacular collapse of FTX and the fall of crypto tycoon Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF). BTC prices have hovered around $17,000, and ETH prices have hovered around $1,300. According to…
What DeFi Needs to Mature Into a Thriving Ecosystem
By Vin Narayanan on December 2, 2022
Crypto Market Musings There are two things driving the market right now: FTX collateral damage and potential interest rate hikes. Every time an FTX domino falls — like BlockFi declaring bankruptcy a few days ago — crypto…
How to Take a Value Investing Approach to Crypto
By Vin Narayanan on October 14, 2022
This week’s inflation news was not good. Inflation, unsurprisingly, has risen faster than expected despite the Fed’s aggressive rate hikes. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is up 0.4% from last month, and the core CPI (which excludes highly volatile food and…
The Vicious Cycle of Fuel Prices, Energy Consumption and Crypto
By Yasmin Sharbaf on October 14, 2022
Crypto Market Musings The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the month of September is finally here, and it’s not what economists and the Fed wanted. The CPI increased 8.2% from last September and increased 0.4% month to month. The financial markets tumbled right after yesterday morning’s news. Ethereum…
It’s Time to Retire the “Bitcoin as Digital Gold” Analogy
By Vin Narayanan on October 7, 2022
Crypto Market Musings As of this writing, bitcoin is up about 3% over the last seven days and trading around $20,000. Ethereum is up about 2% over the last seven days and trading around $1,358. There’s no Fed meeting this month, so we won’t…
Regulators Try to Tighten Their Grip on Crypto
By Yasmin Sharbaf on September 23, 2022
Crypto Market Musings On Wednesday, the Fed raised interest rates for the third time this year by 75 basis points. Both the stock and crypto markets responded quickly to the aggressive rate hike. As of this writing, bitcoin is down 2.6% and trading below $19,000. Ethereum fell by…
Two Predictable Data Points Crypto Investors Can Use to Their Advantage
By Vin Narayanan on September 16, 2022
If you want to find out just how long this bear market is going to last and the market forces driving it, click here to read the report I provided to First Stage Investor members. …
Inflation Is Keeping the Crypto Bear Market Alive
By Vin Narayanan on September 15, 2022
If you’re a crypto investor, you might as well grab a Snickers bar because this bear market is not going anywhere for a while. The crypto bear market is largely being driven by the declining stock markets. The stock…
The Early Investing Podcast: While Inflation Climbs, Markets Slump
By Early Investing on September 14, 2022
The August update of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) dropped yesterday. And the news is… not great. The CPI increased 0.1% for the month and 8.3% over the past year. Excluding food and energy costs, the CPI rose 6.3% from last August. The markets slumped right…
A Strong Dollar Drives Bitcoin’s Price Down
By Vin Narayanan on July 15, 2022
Crypto Market Musings Phew. June inflation numbers came in hot on Wednesday — and the markets mostly yawned. Bitcoin is trading (as of this writing) at around $20,000. It was trading around $21,000 last week. Ethereum is trading around $1,131. It…
There Is No Crypto “Contagion”
By Vin Narayanan on July 8, 2022
Crypto Market Musings Crypto’s recent correlation with the stock market is finally paying dividends. The stock market is rallying — and so is crypto. As of this writing, bitcoin is up almost 11% over the last five days and is trading…